Blue Owl Capital Corporation: Buying 12%+ Yield As AI Excitement Fades
Blue Owl Capital Corporation offers a compelling deep value opportunity with a forward 12%+ dividend yield amid moderating AI excitement. OBDC is significantly undervalued, with fair value estimates 44% to 77% above the current share price, even under conservative dividend growth assumptions. While OBDC's high payout ratio may limit future dividend growth, the current yield remains highly attractive for income-focused investors.
Blue Owl Capital: Private Credit Fear Is Mispriced
I initiate my coverage on Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL), with a strong buy rating, supported by record fundraising of $57B TTM, and significant exposure to AI digital infrastructure growth. Recently, Blue Owl led landmark hyperscaler financings, including $30B Meta Hyperion, $20B Oracle Stargate (NM), and $15B Oracle Abilene, within a >$100B pipeline. At ~15x forward earnings and a 6.4% dividend yield (cheaper than Blackstone, KKR, Ares, and Brookfield), I believe sentiment, not fundamentals, explains the 12-month underperformance.
Blue Owl Capital: 13% Yield Indicative Of Deep Value
Blue Owl Capital (OBDC) terminated its merger with Blue Owl Capital Corporation II, leading to a 20% discount to net asset value. OBDC's non-accruals rose modestly but remain manageable, with portfolio quality supported by a focus on senior secured loans. A $200 million share buyback at a deep discount and a well-covered dividend present a compelling high-yield income opportunity.
Blue Owl Capital: Buy The Canary Panic
Blue Owl Capital has been heavily sold off due to market overreactions to private credit concerns, despite strong fundamentals. OWL reported a solid Q3'25 with minimal non-accruals and no exposure to troubled credits like Tricolor or First Brands. Management emphasized that recent negative headlines do not reflect the true strength of OWL's credit portfolio or the broader private credit market.
Blue Owl Capital: Bet Against The Fear Of The Market
Blue Owl Capital Corporation faces persistent headwinds from private credit default concerns, earnings normalization, and potential dividend cuts, but remains fundamentally resilient. The merger with OBDC II has been terminated, helping to allay weak sentiments that have affected the stock's momentum in recent weeks. Despite a modest uptick in non-accruals and a likely dividend reduction, OBDC's 12.4% forward yield and 21% discount to NAV offer compelling value for income investors.
Blue Owl calls off merger of its two private-credit funds after announcement rattles stock, sources say
Blue Owl has decided to call off the merging of two of its private-credit funds after the deal caused some angst among investors, according to sources.
Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) Presents at Citizens Financial Services Conference 2025 Transcript
Blue Owl Capital Inc. ( OWL ) Citizens Financial Services Conference 2025 November 18, 2025 12:00 PM EST Company Participants Marc S. Lipschultz - Co-Founder, Co-CEO & Director Conference Call Participants Brian Mckenna - Citizens JMP Securities, LLC, Research Division Kipp deVeer Presentation Brian Mckenna Citizens JMP Securities, LLC, Research Division All right.
Blue Owl Capital: Take A Breath And Let It Fall More
OBDC has dropped into a 20% discount territory. For bulls, it has created a very fruitful ground to initiate a chatter around a 'once-in-a-decade buying opportunity.' As a BDC sector bull, I have a different view.
Blue Owl: A Long Term Buy
Blue Owl Capital (NYSE: OWL) offers a highly scalable, asset-light business model, earning steady fees by managing capital for institutional investors without bearing credit risk directly. OWL's revenue is anchored by permanent or long-dated vehicles, providing annuity-like stability and predictable income streams with little impact from short-term market events. The firm's $251 billion AUM spans private credit, GP strategic capital, and real assets, with management fees driving over $1 billion in recurring annual revenue.
Buy Blue Owl Capital Like It's 2020: Lock In This 13% Yield At A Deep Discount Now
OBDC trades at a deep discount despite strong credit quality. Buy OBDC like it's 2020, near its low valuation. Management is growing assets and maintaining low non-accruals.
Blue Owl: Buy The Cash Machine Behind Private Credit And Digital Infrastructure
Blue Owl Capital Inc. blends stability with long-term growth, anchored in private credit and digital infrastructure, generating predictable and recurring cash flows. Strong Q3 2025 results with 18 consecutive quarters of fee growth, rising FRE, and solid dividend coverage supported by recurring management fees. $28 billion of non-fee-generating AUM set to activate over the next two years, driving meaningful upside to revenues, FRE, and dividend capacity.
Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Blue Owl Capital Corporation ( OBDC ) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 6, 2025 10:00 AM EST Company Participants Michael Mosticchio - Head of Investor Relations Craig Packer - CEO & Director Logan Nicholson - Senior Managing Director Jonathan Lamm - CFO & COO Conference Call Participants Brian Mckenna - Citizens JMP Securities, LLC, Research Division Arren Cyganovich - Truist Securities, Inc., Research Division Robert Dodd - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division Finian O'Shea - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division Casey Alexander - Compass Point Research & Trading, LLC, Research Division Mickey Schleien - Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc., Research Division Kenneth Lee - RBC Capital Markets, Research Division Sean-Paul Adams - B. Riley Securities, Inc., Research Division Christopher Nolan - Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc., Research Division Presentation Operator Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Blue Owl Capital Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call.
