Warren Buffett's high-conviction bet on Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) is facing one of its toughest tests yet.
Zacks.com users have recently been watching Occidental (OXY) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.
U.S. shale firm Occidental Petroleum said on Wednesday the prices it received for oil produced during the first quarter were higher than in the preceding three months.
But Buffett wasn't always a fan of oil & energy sector stocks. In fact, his high-profile foray into oil domestic oil stocks with ConocoPhillips NYSE: COP was personally proclaimed to be a “major mistake” by the Oracle of Omaha himself.
Occidental (OXY) has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly report.
Occidental Petroleum Co. NYSE: OXY stock and Warrant Buffett are often used in the same sentence these days. Even as Warren Buffett has raised his cash holdings in Berkshire Hathaway Inc. NYSE: BRK.A NYSE: BRK.B, Occidental was one of the few stocks he has upped his stakes in.
Warren Buffett's investment in Occidental Petroleum highlights his strategy of buying undervalued stocks. Industry uncertainty and potential low oil prices may lead to reduced production. Despite current economic challenges, the energy sector's ability to adjust production quickly makes it a likely bargain investment idea.
In the latest trading session, Occidental Petroleum (OXY) closed at $49.36, marking a +1.09% move from the previous day.
OXY is almost fully valued despite the recent pullback as the stock loses its Warren Buffett premium, triggering its mixed prospects attributed to macro/ sector uncertainties. This is worsened by the upcoming supply normalization and moderating spot prices, as the OPEC+ gradually ramps up their production outputs through December 2026. OXY's CrownRock acquisition and increased capex are likely to boost production, albeit negated by the higher debts and lower free cash flows.
Zacks.com users have recently been watching Occidental (OXY) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.
I give Occidental Petroleum Corporation a Buy rating. The company has an impressive free annual cash flow and high-quality earnings. Using a DCF model, the intrinsic value of Occidental is $65.04 per share, suggesting the stock currently trades at 26% below its intrinsic value.
Energy sector leads YTD S&P 500 performance; XLE up 300% over five years, showing resilience amid geopolitical risks and inflation. Occidental Petroleum (OXY) remains a buy; attractive valuation, high free cash flow, and ongoing debt reduction efforts despite recent mixed quarterly results. OXY's technicals are bearish, but support at mid-$40s and improving RSI offer potential; long-term support near $36.