TPG Inc. (TPG) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
TPG Inc. remains undervalued at a 15x forward P/E and 5.5% yield, despite recent outperformance and robust AUM growth. TPG's diversified platform limits exposure to AI-disrupted software, with only 7% of software investments at risk and 60% expected to benefit from AI. Record fee-related earnings, strong fundraising momentum, and expanding deployment support a compelling growth and income thesis for TPG.
TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. preferreds face heightened risk, with Series A and B downgraded to Sell due to insufficient yield amid economic uncertainty. MITT's Series C preferred, MITT.PC, is maintained at Hold, offering a 90-100 bps yield advantage and floating rate protection, though call risk remains if rates decline. TPG's preferred dividend coverage ratio has deteriorated from 5.8x (2021) to 1.7x, and the TCE/PFD value ratio has weakened to 1.5x, highlighting rising risk.
TPG RE Finance Trust continues to trade at a significant 24% discount to book value per share as stock buybacks continue at an accretive pace. TRTX is paying out an 11.5% dividend yield on the back of a $0.24 per share quarterly payout that's 104% covered by distributable earnings. The mREIT grew its loan investment portfolio by 26.5% year-over-year, which should underpin NII strength.
TPG Mortgage Investment Trust is rated a speculative Buy, offering a 12% dividend yield and trading at a 20% discount to book value. MITT's dividend is currently covered, but with a narrow cushion; payout ratio stands at 96.74%, reflecting elevated risk. Management's strategy emphasizes higher-returning non-agency and home-equity loans, with Arc Home contributing origination growth and diversified earnings.
For my initial rating of TPG Mortgage Investment Trust (MITT), I call it a hold. Key strengths include portfolio diversity and growth, certain margin recovery signs, a yield near 12%, and a focus on residential. Key concerns were the payout ratio, tight interest margins, and a high D/E compared to similar peers.
TPG is rated 'buy' due to systemic undervaluation and resilient, visible forward fee-related earnings (FRE) growth. TPG trades at a 24.4% discount to peers on distributable earnings and is undervalued by 56.6% on a dividend discount model. FRE stability is underpinned by contractually driven FAUM growth, with AUM expanding ~13% YoY and a current $2.36/share dividend.
TPG Inc. (TPG) Presents at Morgan Stanley US Financials Conference 2026 Transcript
TPG raised more than $10 billion in new capital during the recent quarter, bringing its total dry powder at the end of the period to nearly $73 billion.
TPG Inc. (TPG) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Although the revenue and EPS for TPG Inc. (TPG) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended March 2026, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.
TPG Inc. (TPG) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.7 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.61 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.48 per share a year ago.