While the top- and bottom-line numbers for Ternium (TX) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended March 2026, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.
Ternium S.A. is rated a Strong Buy for its compelling growth and income profile, underpinned by a 7% dividend yield. TX's aggressive capacity expansion in Mexico and Brazil, supported by a strong balance sheet and cash flow, positions it for margin growth in H2 2026. Falling input costs — particularly iron ore and coking coal — combined with rising steel prices in core markets are expected to drive EBITDA margin recovery to 10–11%.
The headline numbers for Ternium (TX) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended December 2025, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.
Ternium (TX) made it through our 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen and could be a great choice for investors looking for stocks that have gained strong momentum recently but are still trading at reasonable prices.
Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and momentum trends to underscore strong picks.
Ternium is dealing with a cyclical downturn driven by trade issues in Mexico and Brazil, yet remains a highly efficient operator with long-term growth potential. The ongoing trade dispute between the U.S. and Mexico has meaningfully impacted domestic manufacturing and infrastructure activity, driving a 10% decline in steel demand. I see TX as undervalued below $50, with DCF suggesting fair value in the high-$50s and a multiples-based approach supporting a $50 target.
Ternium S.A. ( TX ) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 29, 2025 8:30 AM EDT Company Participants Sebastián Martí - Investor Relations Director Maximo Vedoya - Chief Executive Officer Pablo Brizzio - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Carlos de Alba - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Alfonso Salazar - Scotiabank Global Banking and Markets, Research Division Alexander Hacking - Citigroup Inc. Exchange Research Rafael Barcellos - Banco Bradesco BBI S.A.
Although the revenue and EPS for Ternium (TX) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended September 2025, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.
Ternium remains an excellent BUY despite recent US steel import tariffs, thanks to its strong industry position and limited US exposure. TX's 2Q 2025 results demonstrate resilience and clarify its operating environment compared to previous periods, supporting the updated investment thesis. Valuation using multiple metrics shows significant upside potential for TX, even when factoring in discounts for emerging market risks and tariffs.
Ternium's stock has outperformed the S&P 500 recently, yet still trades at historically low valuation multiples, supporting my continued buy recommendation. Despite a challenging steel market, Ternium demonstrated operational efficiency, strong cash flow, and record CapEx, reinforcing its long-term growth and modernization strategy. The company maintains financial strength, a high dividend yield over 8%, and a conservative balance sheet, making it attractive for value-focused investors.
Ternium S.A. (NYSE:TX ) Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call July 30, 2025 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Maximo Vedoya - Chief Executive Officer Pablo Daniel Brizzio - Chief Financial Officer Sebastián Martí - Investor Relations Director Conference Call Participants Caio Greiner - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division Carlos De Alba - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Rafael Barcellos - Banco Bradesco BBI S.A.
Ternium thrives as a regional steel spread player, balancing iron ore costs against HRC prices and exposure to nearshoring and potential market protection in Mexico and Brazil. The stock's valuation reflects expectations for margin normalization; upside exists if steel spreads recover, but downside risk remains if spreads stay compressed. Key risks include exposure to open markets vulnerable to Chinese dumping, legal liabilities in Brazil, and currently negative free cash flow yield due to cyclical headwinds.