Western Digital is now a pure-play HDD storage provider post-Sandisk spin-off, with cloud representing 89% of revenue and driving recent explosive growth. I initiate coverage with a Sell rating and a $370 price target, citing concerns over unsustainably high-growth rates and an overextended valuation. Despite 44% revenue growth, 1,310 bps gross margin expansion, and 109% EPS growth, forward guidance and sequential acceleration failed to meet elevated market expectations.
Western Digital delivered strong Q4 2026 results, beating earnings and revenue expectations but faced a sharp post-earnings sell-off due to valuation concerns. WDC's pure-play HDD focus exposes it to technological disruption risks, such as emerging low-bit AI architectures, and SSD adoption could erode demand and margins. Current valuation requires unsustainably high FCF growth (~40%) to justify, with non-GAAP P/E at 44.31 and revenue growth at 32% YOY seen as insufficient for the premium.
Western Digital remains a Sell despite operational strength and a net cash-positive balance sheet for the first time in recent history. WDC's valuation is stretched, trading at a non-GAAP P/E of 66.17 and EV/EBITDA of 47.75, far above peers like Sandisk and Dell. Recent margin expansion to 54.4% appears unsustainable, with growth and margin gains decelerating and pricing power nearing its ceiling.
WDC tops Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings and revenue estimates as strong storage demand lifts results and supports upbeat fiscal 2027 guidance.
Western Digital's AI storage demand, pricing gains and higher-capacity products support another growth quarter and continued margin expansion.
Western Digital Corp (NASDAQ:WDC) shares fell 11% Thursday after the data storage company reported fiscal fourth quarter results that beat Wall Street estimates, but its margin outlook fell short of the elevated expectations set by rival Seagate. Western Digital expects fiscal first quarter 2027 non-GAAP gross margin of 55% to 56%, with a midpoint of 55.5%, compared with 54.4% in the fourth quarter.
Storage and memory stocks are selling off hard early Thursday. Western Digital (NASDAQ:WDC | WDC Price Prediction) shares are sliding 16% to $437, while SanDisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) stock is dropping 11% to $1,198.
Western Digital NASDAQ: WDC reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue and earnings above the high end of its guidance, citing strong demand for high-capacity hard disk drives, favorable pricing and growth in cloud storage needs tied to artificial intelligence workloads.
Western Digital stock (NASDAQ: WDC) fell as much as 10.8% in after-hours trading on Wednesday, after losing 5.4%, despite the company beating Wall Street estimates. Adjusted earnings rose to $3.56 a share from $1.70 a year earlier, exceeding analysts' forecast of $3.31.
Western Digital Corporation (WDC) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Western Digital (WDC) came out with quarterly earnings of $3.56 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.35 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.66 per share a year ago.
Western Digital reported a more than elevenfold increase in its fourth-quarter profit, driven by continued strong demand for its memory technology.