The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) is down 6% this month amid a downturn for technology stocks.
XLK ETF down almost 15% from its July high, underperforming the S&P 500 ETF by 6%+. However, the technology sector sell-off was not rational; earnings were strong, and we are still in a long-term secular bull market in Tech, driven by AI and other growth catalysts too. The XLK ETF has a concentrated portfolio, with 41% in just two stocks: Microsoft & Nvidia. The expense fee is a very reasonable and economic 0.09%.
XLK faces a pivotal week with over a third of IT companies reporting earnings, including Microsoft. Strong double-digit growth and robust earnings in the IT sector are expected to drive XLK's rich outlook; XLK upgraded to Buy. Rebalancing in XLK sees Nvidia replacing Apple as the second-highest weighted position, while overall allocation to semiconductor stocks also increases.
Launched on 12/16/1998, the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) is a passively managed exchange traded fund designed to provide a broad exposure to the Technology - Broad segment of the equity market.
If you want to invest a bit more aggressively in the stock market, there's a way to do that without taking on an excessive amount of risk. Tech stocks could deliver outsized gains in the long run as they benefit from the boom in artificial intelligence.
Nvidia Corporation's increased weighting in The Technology Select Sector SPDR® Fund ETF poses concentration risk, impacting overall performance and vulnerability to market corrections. The XLK ETF's Seeking Alpha quant metrics raise concerns, especially with increased Nvidia weighting & potential downside risk of 45% in Nvidia, leading to a potential 9% downside in the ETF. Given this, I am a sell on the ETF.
XLK's recent performance is likely to attract more momentum seeking investors, but there are significant risks involved. Extreme concentration within the ETF is making it less likely that it will continue to outperform more diversified alternatives. The current set-up also does not favour momentum stocks and this is a major red flag for the ETF's future performance.
Over the past six months, the tech sector has been trailing behind communications services.
The S&P 500 continues to achieve new records, with tech stocks expected to drive the bull run in the second half of 2024. Investing in tech ETFs like XLK can offer exposure to the tech sector while lowering risks associated with single-stock investments. SCHG may be the best option for investors seeking big risk-adjusted returns in the current bull run, with a strong portfolio and quant analysis rating.
The AI frenzy emphasized the significance of the extensive opportunities within the AI ecosystem. As a result, investors are leaving no stone unturned to tap the AI ecosystem in every form.
Technology sector has outperformed since October '23, but recently saw extreme divergence with a gain of over 9% while other sectors dropped. XLK underwent quarterly rebalancing, reducing Apple's weight while increasing Nvidia's, leading to instability in the sector. XLK's correction may stabilize, with key levels at $221.95 and $217.72 determining future momentum.
Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) is poised for a big rebalance this week. This shake-up will increase the exposure to NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) at the expense of Apple Inc. (AAPL).