Bitcoin still looks late-cycle and in its drawdown phase. Even if Strategy stock has found an early floor, it is likely to remain range-bound until Bitcoin turns decisively higher. The key Q4 takeaway is dilution: MSTR's Bitcoin holdings rose about 5%, but the fully diluted share count rose nearly 8%, cutting Bitcoin ownership per share by roughly 2.5%. Patience is warranted, with gradual buying in mid-2026 and heavier accumulation closer to a likely late-2026 inflection.
MSTR's Q4 results are likely to have benefited from rising Bitcoin holdings and improved capital access, but valuation and weak software demand remain risks.
The YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF uses a complex options strategy to generate income. The ETF's options approach focuses on just one company: Strategy Inc. Strategy describes itself as "the world's first and largest Bitcoin treasury company.
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has seen its Bitcoin-as-a-Treasury strategy falter, eroding the premium that has fueled rapid BTC accumulation via equity issuance. MSTR's market-adjusted net asset value (mNAV) has declined to 1.07, making further equity issuance more dilutive and less accretive for BTC purchases. The 10% Series A Perpetual Stride Preferred (STRD) offers substantial income with clearly defined risks, though coupon suspension remains a remote concern.
Strategy stock (NASDAQ: MSTR) dropped 10% yesterday to $143, pushing its six-month decline to 64%. Investors are quite aware of the reason: MicroStrategy has transformed from its software company origins into a leveraged Bitcoin treasury entity.
In the most recent trading session, Strategy (MSTR) closed at $158.45, indicating a -1.94% shift from the previous trading day.
MSTR shares are down over 50% as Bitcoin slides, but strong fundamentals and its BTC-heavy strategy could set Strategy up for a rebound.
2026 will be a big year for both bitcoin and Strategy (MSTR), CEO and president Phong Le says. He spoke with Market Catalysts Anchor Julie Hyman about his outlook for bitcoin and why the company is banking on Stretch (STRC), its preferred equity offering.
In the closing of the recent trading day, Strategy (MSTR) stood at $163.81, denoting a +2.23% move from the preceding trading day.
Strategy Inc. (MSTR) offers a unique dual exposure to Bitcoin and AI-driven analytics software, with a Strong Buy rating. MSTR's BTC holdings exceed its market cap by 20%, effectively offering investors free upside on both BTC and its undervalued software business. The company's software segment trades at just 4x 2026 earnings, far below sector medians, and its capital structure is highly liquid.
Strategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) pioneered the Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTC ) treasury company strategy that once drove mutual gains.
MSTR stock slumps 59% in six months as Bitcoin volatility, premium valuation and $17.44B unrealized losses weigh, even as long-term growth drivers persist.